Preparing for El Niño 2026–2027: Implications for Malawi’s Macadamia and Mango Industries

El Niño conditions expected during the 2026–2027 season could bring delayed rainfall onset, prolonged dry spells and higher temperatures across Malawi, with the level of exposure varying considerably between production areas. For macadamia and mango businesses, these conditions could affect water availability, crop development, pest and disease pressure, yield and quality.

MVC’s analysis examines long-term rainfall and temperature patterns alongside the specific production cycles of macadamia and mango to identify where and when risks may be greatest. It highlights differences in exposure across Malawi’s production zones and considers the implications for rain-fed and irrigated orchards.

A practical four-page information brief accompanies the technical analysis, translating the findings into key issues businesses should monitor and actions they can take to prepare for the 2026–2027 season.